Crypto Trading Booms in India's Smaller Cities as Job Growth and Incomes Disappoint
The cumulative trading volumes of bitcoin, ethereum, dogecoin, and other cryptocurrencies on four of its largest exchanges have more than doubled quarter-on-quarter to $1.9 billion in the October-December quarter, driven by smaller cities. Many young Indians are dabbling in crypto trading to supplement their regular income due to stagnant job growth and pay increases. The Indian crypto market is expected to grow to over $15 billion in 2035 at a compound annual growth rate of 18.5%.
As the younger generation seeks alternative sources of income, it will be intriguing to see how this trend affects the overall economic landscape of India and its social safety net.
Will governments in smaller cities across India follow suit and establish their own cryptocurrency regulations, potentially leading to a patchwork of laws across the country?
Asian share markets made guarded gains on Monday as investors waited anxiously to see if imminent tariffs would go ahead, while bitcoin surged on news it would be included in a new U.S. strategic reserve of cryptocurrencies. Markets still unsure if U.S. tariffs will go ahead Nikkefutures rallied 1.7%, S&P 500 futures up 0.2% Euro up on hopes for progress on Ukraine-Russia deal
The surge in bitcoin prices may indicate a growing acceptance of cryptocurrency among mainstream investors, potentially paving the way for increased regulation and adoption.
Will the new U.S. strategic reserve of cryptocurrencies serve as a catalyst for more countries to develop their own digital asset management frameworks, or will it create a global race to standardize regulations?
India's M3 money supply, which includes currency in circulation and central bank reserves, rose an annual 14.7 percent to ₹5.89 lakh crore ($83 billion) as of May 7, unchanged from April 23, according to the Reserve Bank of India. The growth rate is slightly above estimates, indicating a stronger-than-expected recovery in the country's economy. The central bank's benchmark interest rate remains unchanged.
This rapid expansion of the money supply could lead to increased inflationary pressures and higher interest rates, potentially slowing down economic growth.
How will the RBI respond to these inflation concerns and what policy adjustments are needed to maintain price stability?
Illegal cryptocurrency transactions reached as high as $40 billion in 2024, with estimates suggesting this figure could rise to around $51 billion in 2025. The shift away from Bitcoin and towards stablecoins is a notable trend, with stablecoins now accounting for 63% of all criminal transactions. This represents a significant decrease from the 70% of crimes that were committed using Bitcoin four years ago.
The growing use of stablecoins by cybercriminals highlights the need for more effective anti-money laundering regulations in the cryptocurrency space.
As cryptocurrency adoption continues to grow, will governments and regulatory bodies be able to keep pace with the evolving nature of illicit transactions?
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency by market value, was up by around 6.06% at $89,359 at 1620 GMT on Sunday. This comes after U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday that his recent executive order on digital assets directed his team to create "a Crypto Strategic Reserve that includes XRP, SOL, and ADA." The announcement has sparked interest among investors and analysts. As a result of this surge, the market value of other cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum also increased.
This sudden spike in Bitcoin's price may be seen as a vote of confidence in the cryptocurrency's long-term viability, but it also raises questions about the stability of the entire digital asset market.
How will the impact of this executive order on the crypto market be felt by small-time investors and ordinary consumers who are not yet fully aware of its implications?
Global fund managers are in no rush to load up on Indian stocks even after an unprecedented losing streak has lowered equity valuations, as the market is still grappling with challenges posed by an economic slowdown, profit downgrades, and potential US tariffs. Overseas investors have pulled almost $15 billion from local shares so far this year, putting outflows on track to surpass the record $17 billion registered in 2022. The selloff has wiped out $1.3 trillion from India’s market value.
The reversal of stock rotation from China to India highlights the complexities of emerging markets and how investor sentiment can shift rapidly in response to economic and policy developments.
What role will the Indian government's plans for infrastructure development, such as the Bharatmala Pariyojana, play in reversing the country's economic slowdown and restoring investor confidence?
Crypto stocks rallied Monday after Trump said in a post on Truth Social that his administration will create a US crypto reserve. President Donald Trump's announcement sparked a $300 billion global crypto rally Sunday that has continued to start the trading week. The jump comes after bitcoin saw its worst month in February since June 2022, dropping roughly 17% as the so-called "Trump trade" lost steam.
This sudden interest from the US government in cryptocurrencies may signal a new era of regulatory clarity and investment in the space, potentially attracting more institutional players and further driving growth.
Will the creation of a national crypto reserve have broader implications for global economic policy and monetary systems, or will it remain a niche phenomenon?
US stock futures rose on Monday amid uncertainty about President Donald Trump’s plans to impose tariffs on major US trading partners this week, boosting the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures. The upcoming jobs report and key retail earnings also weighed on investors' minds as they consider potential implications for economic growth. Market volatility is expected to persist in March with tariff deadlines looming.
The surge in cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin and ethereum, raises questions about the role of government intervention in the digital asset market and its impact on overall financial stability.
Will the inclusion of these cryptocurrencies in a strategic reserve lead to increased regulatory scrutiny and potential market volatility in the coming months?
Traders are now in a wait-and-watch mode as they approach the coming months, mainly eying macroeconomic data and decisions for cues on further positioning. The crypto market sell-off extended into its second week as bitcoin prices stopped at nearly $80,000 late Sunday, triggering a fresh decline in major tokens and altcoins. Dogecoin (DOGE) and Cardano’s ADA led losses with a nearly 10% slump over the past 24 hours, data shows.
The crypto market's extreme fear index may be signaling an opportunity for contrarian investors to buy into the market, but will they be able to capitalize on this potential buying opportunity before it's too late?
How can policymakers and regulators balance the need for lighter regulation with the risk of exacerbating market volatility in the cryptocurrency sector?
Cryptocurrency prices have continued their downward trend due to escalating tariff war tensions and diminishing prospects of further Federal Reserve rate cuts, outweighing the pro-crypto announcements from President Donald Trump last week. The uncertainty surrounding these economic factors has led to a decrease in investor confidence, with Bitcoin falling as much as 3.7% early on Monday. Despite recent developments that have given investors a more bullish outlook, macroeconomic headwinds are still dominating the crypto market.
The increasing correlation between cryptocurrency prices and traditional financial markets suggests that the current slump may be a broader reflection of economic conditions rather than solely a result of regulatory or political factors.
Can policymakers effectively address the concerns of small-scale investors who are increasingly seeking alternative assets to diversify their portfolios, and if so, how would this impact the overall trajectory of the cryptocurrency market?
The Singapore Exchange plans to list bitcoin perpetual futures in the second half of 2025, targeting institutional clients and professional investors, in a move that could significantly expand market access for this asset class. The firm's offering is expected to bring retail customers into the picture, potentially creating a new level of volatility in the markets. However, no specific details have been provided on how the exchange intends to ensure regulatory compliance with existing laws and regulations.
As the first major exchange to list bitcoin futures, Singapore Exchange may set a new standard for institutional investor engagement, but will this model prove scalable and resilient to market fluctuations?
How might Singapore's approach to regulating cryptocurrency trading influence other exchanges around the world in their own plans for offering similar products?
Bitcoin bears are poised to exploit macroeconomic concerns by targeting key support at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), as trade tensions and recessionary signals from the bond market take center stage. President Donald Trump's recent-crypto-related announcements have become increasingly secondary to these worries, with investors now focusing on the potential impact of tariffs and interest rate cuts. The leading cryptocurrency by market value has slid over 3% to $83,200, testing this critical level.
The intersection of macroeconomic concerns and cryptocurrency prices highlights the complex relationships between asset classes and broader economic conditions, underscoring the need for a nuanced understanding of these interactions.
Can investors successfully navigate the current volatility in cryptocurrency markets by developing a more robust macroeconomic framework that incorporates crypto-specific factors?
Indian stock markets and the rupee have been reacting sharply to recent global economic developments, with investors taking a cautious view ahead of key earnings reports from major Indian companies. The value of the rupee has also been impacted by changes in oil prices and interest rates. The impact of these factors on India's economy is expected to be significant, with experts warning that the country may face a period of slow growth.
As investors become increasingly risk-averse, this could lead to reduced investment flows into emerging markets like India, exacerbating economic slowdown concerns.
How will the ongoing economic uncertainties impact India's ability to achieve its ambitious GDP growth targets in the coming years?
Bitcoin prices surged by as much as 3% on Sunday after President Donald Trump announced plans to establish a strategic US cryptocurrency reserve. The move has been met with optimism from investors, who see it as a potential catalyst for the growth of the crypto industry in the United States. The creation of such a reserve could also provide a significant boost to the global adoption of cryptocurrencies.
This development highlights the growing influence of cryptocurrency investments on major economies and their policies, underscoring the need for clarity and regulation in this rapidly evolving space.
What will be the specific implications of the US government's involvement in the crypto market on the global economy, particularly in terms of price stability and regulatory frameworks?
Bitcoin (BTC-USD), the world's largest cryptocurrency by market value, dropped about 4.5% to $82,127.01 at 08:00 GMT on Monday, extending recent volatility amid ongoing market uncertainty. The decline in Bitcoin's price has significant implications for investors and traders who have taken positions on the cryptocurrency. As one of the most widely traded assets globally, its value can greatly impact financial markets.
The rapid fluctuations in Bitcoin's value highlight the increasing interconnectedness of global financial systems, where a single market event can ripple through to other asset classes.
What potential regulatory responses might mitigate such volatility in the future, and how will they be implemented?
Coinbase's stock has plummeted by almost one-third over the past two weeks to a low of about $201, mirroring a nosedive in the price of Bitcoin. The world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped 17% to a low of about $79,000 over the same period, before rebounding to almost $84,000. The correlation between Coinbase's market performance and Bitcoin is so high that even analysts are surprised by any other outcome.
As fintech firms continue to navigate the complexities of crypto trading, it's clear that the industry's fortunes are inextricably linked to the whims of cryptocurrency prices.
Can Coinbase and its competitors regain their footing in a rapidly shifting market, or will the lingering uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's future value forever hold them back?
The US stock market is expected to see a modest increase ahead of President Donald Trump's planned tariffs on major US trading partners, with bitcoin prices surging after Trump announced five digital assets would be included in a new strategic cryptocurrency reserve. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are broadly flat, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures have seen gains of 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively. Investors are awaiting the February nonfarm-payrolls report on jobs growth, which is expected to show modest employment numbers.
This surge in market sentiment highlights the ongoing shift in investor perceptions towards digital assets, as institutional investors and governments begin to take a more active role in supporting cryptocurrency adoption.
How will the inclusion of bitcoin in the new US strategic cryptocurrency reserve impact its future price trajectory, and what implications might this have for other cryptocurrencies?
US President Donald Trump has revealed the names of five cryptocurrencies he wants to be included in a potential national reserve to make the US "the Crypto Capital of the World". The market prices of the five coins he named - Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana and Cardano - all swiftly jumped after the announcement. During Trump's presidential campaign, he aggressively courted the crypto community.
This new development highlights the significant influence a single leader can have on the global cryptocurrency market, raising questions about how regulatory consistency will be achieved across different countries.
How will this move impact the broader financial landscape, particularly for smaller cryptocurrencies that are not included in Trump's proposed reserve?
Bitcoin (BTC) has surged 7% in the past hour, crossing $92,000 after Donald Trump announced that the U.S. will move forward with establishing a crypto strategic reserve. The price is now up 15% from recent lows of $78,000. Data indicates this rally is driven by spot demand rather than speculation, signaling a healthy, organic move. Spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) shows buyers as the aggressors, with over $200 million in spot inflows in the past hour.
This surge suggests that institutional investors and mainstream consumers are increasingly recognizing Bitcoin's potential for long-term value appreciation, potentially marking a turning point in its adoption by more traditional asset managers.
How will regulators in various countries balance the need to regulate cryptocurrencies with the growing demand from sovereign wealth funds and other institutional investors seeking to diversify their portfolios?
XRP has seen significant price swings over the last week, with substantial gains despite volatility. The cryptocurrency's token price rose 6.7% over the last seven days of trading as investors reacted to President Trump's announcement about a U.S. digital-asset reserve project. While XRP's inclusion in the reserve was initially seen as a positive catalyst, its impact on valuations has been nuanced.
The news highlights the complex relationship between macroeconomic trends and cryptocurrency prices, underscoring the need for nuanced understanding of the interplay between economic indicators and market sentiment.
Will this development mark a turning point in the broader adoption of digital assets by institutional investors, or will it remain a niche phenomenon?
India's manufacturing activity grew at its weakest pace in over a year last month due to cooling demand, but employment generation rose at a healthy pace and inflation eased. Goods production, which accounts for less than a fifth of overall output, grew 3.5% in October-December, only a slight rise from 2.2% in the previous quarter. The HSBC final India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (INPMI) fell to 56.3 in February - its lowest since December 2023.
This unexpected downturn highlights how quickly economic trends can shift in Asia's third-largest economy, underscoring the importance of policy decisions and external factors in influencing domestic growth.
How will India's central bank, facing rising inflation concerns, navigate the delicate balance between monetary policy support and maintaining economic stability amidst a cooling manufacturing sector?
Bitcoin was trading up more than 20% from last week's lows on Monday, with several other cryptocurrencies also rallying sharply following U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of a new U.S. strategic reserve that will include bitcoin and ether. The move has lifted sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, which had been sliding since mid-January due to disappointment over Trump's lack of action on regulatory loosening. However, experts caution that further gains will depend on the sources of funding for the reserve.
The inclusion of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in a U.S. strategic reserve could mark a significant shift in how governments approach digital assets, potentially paving the way for increased mainstream adoption.
What role do you think the upcoming White House Crypto Summit will play in shaping the future trajectory of cryptocurrency prices and market sentiment?
India's benchmark indexes reversed early gains on Monday, as global trade concerns kept investor sentiment on edge, while index heavyweight Reliance Industries fell the most in five months. The Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex indexes lost ground after data showed a slower-than-expected economic growth rate for the October-December quarter. Investor caution was fueled by U.S. tariff uncertainty and cautious commentary from analysts.
This decline highlights the vulnerability of emerging markets to global economic sentiment, where trade tensions can quickly turn on their heels and impact investor confidence.
How will the ongoing uncertainty in global trade affect India's economic growth prospects for the remainder of the year?
A trader on Hyperliquid, a decentralized perpetual swaps platform, leveraged a $5.6 million deposit to open 50x long positions on Bitcoin and Ethereum ahead of President Donald Trump's announcement regarding a crypto strategic reserve. This move brought the total value of their positions to more than $200 million, catching the attention of blockchain analysts. The trader's profits soared as prices surged following Trump's clarification that Bitcoin and Ethereum would be included in the crypto reserve.
The use of leverage in this trading strategy highlights the importance of careful risk management, as a small move against the trader could have led to significant losses.
What are the implications for the broader cryptocurrency market if more traders begin using similar strategies ahead of major announcements from government officials?
Bitcoin's fundamentals held up well during the latest dip, suggesting underlying strength, Swissblock analysts said. The U.S. government confirmed to delay tariffs on auto parts coming from Canada and Mexico by one month just one day after enacting them, easing investor worries with bitcoin leading the crypto market higher. Germany's plan to ease debt limits for infrastructure spending and China hiking its target deficit also contributed to rebounding risk markets.
The seeming disconnect between Trump's delay of tariffs and bitcoin's surge highlights the growing influence of macroeconomic factors on cryptocurrency prices, raising questions about the long-term sustainability of such correlations.
Will the continued rise in bitcoin's value lead to increased regulation or scrutiny from governments worldwide, potentially altering its store-of-value status?
The hackers who stole around $1.4 billion in cryptocurrency from crypto exchange Bybit have moved nearly all of the robbed proceeds and converted them into Bitcoin, in what experts call the first phase of the money-laundering operation. This digital heist is considered one of the largest in history, with blockchain monitoring firms and researchers accusing the North Korean government of being behind it. The hackers' ability to launder the funds quickly highlights the challenges for investigators trying to track down the stolen cryptocurrency.
The sophisticated methods used by these hackers expose the vulnerabilities of traditional anti-money laundering (AML) mechanisms and highlight the need for more effective tools to combat cybercrime.
What role will international cooperation play in bringing those responsible for this heist to justice, particularly if it involves governments and underground networks?