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Italy's Meloni Bags UAE Investment Pledge Worth $40 Billion

The United Arab Emirates plans to invest $40 billion in Italy, the two countries said at a bilateral summit in Rome, without providing any time frame. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has pursued stronger ties with Gulf countries since taking office in 2022, ignoring concerns over human rights issues raised by political opponents. Under her watch, Italy lifted arms sales embargoes for the UAE and Saudi Arabia imposed by previous governments due to the war in Yemen.

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The foreign ministers of France, Germany, Italy, and the UK have expressed support for an Arab-backed plan to reconstruct Gaza, which would cost $53 billion and prioritize Palestinian self-governance. The plan aims to create a more sustainable and realistic path for Gaza's reconstruction, promising swift and significant improvements in living conditions. However, Israel and the US have rejected the proposal, with the latter presenting its own vision for transforming the Gaza Strip into a "Middle East Riviera".

Prada SpA is moving closer to a deal to buy Versace from Capri Holdings Ltd. after agreeing to a price of nearly €1.5 billion ($1.6 billion), according to people familiar with the matter. The deal would mark a reversal of the trend in Italian fashion, allowing Prada to create a larger Italian player to better compete with global luxury groups. If completed, the acquisition would be a significant move for Prada, which has emerged as one of the luxury sector's winners amid a global downturn.

Italy's Piaggio Group, known for its Vespa scooters, reported a record annual core profit margin of 16.9%, attributed to effective productivity management amidst a challenging economic landscape. This achievement comes despite a 12% decline in EBITDA, which amounted to 286.7 million euros, indicating a complex balancing act between profitability and operational challenges. Looking ahead, CEO Michele Colaninno anticipates a more favorable environment in 2025, suggesting a cautious optimism for the company's trajectory.

Talks between Germany's conservatives and Social Democrats (SPD) focused on forming a coalition amid plans to increase military spending in Europe. A nearly trillion euro borrowing boom is seen as a way to fund infrastructure and defense spending. The proposal includes 400 billion euros for the German military and 500 billion euros for infrastructure.

The agreement aims to mitigate the effects of a sharp decline in the Turkish lira, providing liquidity and supporting the country's foreign exchange reserves. Qatar has long been a key backstop for Turkey's economy, offering financial support to help stabilize its currency. The deal is seen as a significant step towards bolstering Turkey's economic resilience.

The euro rebounded as EU leaders drew up a Ukraine peace plan, which may boost future growth and support the currency. A likely increase in fiscal spending by euro zone countries could provide some boost to future growth, supporting the currency. The renewed push for peace in Ukraine and possible increase in defence spending are monitoring closely by investors.

Germany's likely next chancellor, Friedrich Merz, is considering setting up special funds worth nearly a trillion euros to finance urgent defence and infrastructure spending, prompting double-digit percentage rises in shares in defence contractors. The proposed funds would amount to 20% of German GDP, with economists proposing sums of 400 billion euros and 500 billion euros respectively. This fiscal sea change would be unprecedented since the Cold War, sending Europe's defence stocks soaring.

Argentine President Javier Milei has announced that he will seek congressional support for a new program his government is negotiating with the International Monetary Fund, marking an advancing stage in talks towards finalizing the deal. The negotiations aim to provide Argentina with significant financial assistance to address its economic challenges and implement currency and capital control reforms. The IMF agreement could potentially unlock billions of dollars in funding to help stabilize the peso and revive Argentina's economy.

Germany's Greens are signaling potential refusal to support Friedrich Merz's plans for a significant increase in state borrowing, with concerns rising over the approval process as negotiations progress. The proposed reforms include a special 500 billion euro infrastructure fund aimed at revitalizing the economy, but the Greens demand more climate protection measures to be integrated into the plans. As the political landscape shifts with an incoming parliament, the dynamics between Merz, the Greens, and other coalition partners could complicate the path to passing these crucial measures.

France will use interest from frozen Russian assets to fund another $211 million in arms for Ukraine, Armed Forces Minister Sebastien Lecornu said in a newspaper interview. The country plans to tap into these funds to purchase additional military equipment, including artillery shells and glide bombs, for its Mirage 2000 fighter jets. France is also expected to hand over some of its older armoured fighting vehicles to Ukraine.

Eutelsat, a rival to Starlink, is among companies in talks with the Italian government to provide systems for secure satellite communications. Italy aims to guarantee encrypted communication between the government, diplomats, and defence officials operating in risky areas. The European satellite operator is developing potential homegrown alternatives to Starlink, which dominates the sector.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has signed a declaration to expedite the delivery of approximately $4 billion in military assistance to Israel, allowing for swift execution of long-standing commitments to the country's security. The Trump administration previously approved nearly $12 billion in major foreign military sales to Israel, with Rubio using emergency authority to accelerate this process. This decision comes as tensions between Israel and Hamas remain high, despite a fragile ceasefire agreement that halted 15 months of fighting.

The PGA Tour is making a significant investment in an effort to reunify the golfing world, as a deal with Saudi Arabia-backed LIV Golf could potentially bring back some of the top players who have defected to the rival league. The proposed $1.5 billion deal would not only address the talent drain but also help to revitalize the game by increasing purses and offering more competitive opportunities for golfers. This move is a response to the growing influence of LIV Golf, which has disrupted the traditional golf landscape with its lucrative offers and innovative approach.

Norway aims to boost financial aid to Ukraine significantly and also raise its own defence spending at a time of heightened global uncertainty, Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Stoere of the ruling Labour Party told parliament on Thursday. The country has seen soaring income from gas sales to Europe as a result of Russia's 2022 Ukraine invasion, and faces pressure at home and abroad to boost its aid. Norway has already agreed to spend 35 billion crowns ($3.22 billion) on military and civilian support for Ukraine in 2025.

Argentine President Javier Milei has signaled an imminent deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), promising to address the country's economic overhaul and lift capital controls. In his annual address to congress, Milei touted Argentina's economic progress, citing a decline in inflation from 26% to just over 2%, and pledged to "ask congress to support the government in this new agreement" with the IMF. The deal is seen as crucial for stabilizing the nation's economy and attracting foreign investment.

The cancellation of Ontario's $100 million Starlink deal by Premier Doug Ford is a significant setback for SpaceX, following Italy's decision to reconsider its $1.6 billion contract due to the White House's shift in NATO and European security commitments. The Trump administration's policy changes have caught many allies off guard, leading to re-evaluation of partnerships with companies like SpaceX. Ontario's move may be a small but instructive example of how US tariffs can impact international business.

Economists are considering billions of euros for special funds to boost Germany's defence and infrastructure spending, with a sense of urgency heightened by a heated meeting between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and U.S. President Donald Trump. The proposed funds are expected to be substantial, with estimates ranging from 400 billion to 500 billion euros for the infrastructure fund alone. However, no final decisions have been made yet, and parties in talks to form Germany's new government coalition have declined to comment on the details.

Germany's recent decision to overhaul its fiscal policies marks a significant shift that could revitalize Europe's struggling economy, positioning the nation as a central economic force once again. The proposed spending plans, including a 500 billion euro infrastructure fund and increased defense expenditures, reflect a proactive response to geopolitical threats and a desire for greater economic autonomy. This transformation in fiscal strategy could have far-reaching implications not just for Germany, but for the entire European Union, as it attempts to recover from stagnation and reinvigorate growth.

The German government's plan to invest hundreds of billions of euros in defense and infrastructure is boosting a popular trade in bond market, known as a curve steepener, where investors bet that securities maturing in the more distant future will underperform shorter-term notes. The gap between two- and 10-year German yields has widened to its most in two years, with investors expecting higher government spending to result in increased bond issuance, faster growth, and possible inflation. This trade is gaining momentum as investors anticipate that Germany's parliament will pass the spending plan, despite a challenge from the Green party.

Investors piled into European arms manufacturer shares and punished long-dated government bonds on Monday, following the clearest sign yet the region's leaders were racing to increase defence spending and help to secure peace in Ukraine. A flurry of European diplomacy, including an agreement to spend more on defence, followed an acrimonious meeting between President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday. The euro rose by as much as 0.7% to $1.045, as investors flocked to the European equity market, where an index of aerospace and defence companies hit record highs.

Michael Grimes is poised to helm a new U.S. sovereign wealth fund, with plans to be financed through tariffs imposed on foreign countries, which could potentially create a precedent for similar investment vehicles in other countries. The fund's creation and operation will require congressional approval and careful navigation of competing priorities and big personalities within the Trump administration. Grimes' experience leading high-profile tech IPOs at Morgan Stanley and advising Elon Musk on deals involving Tesla and Twitter positions him well to spearhead the effort.

The euro has experienced its largest three-day rally in over two years, fueled by increased European spending and indications of a slowing U.S. economy, leading analysts to adjust their forecasts. Key developments in Germany's financial policy, including the overhaul of debt rules to boost defense spending, have significantly contributed to this positive shift in the euro's value. As the euro climbs to $1.07, experts suggest that unless extraordinary circumstances arise, such as a major deal for Ukraine, the currency is unlikely to drop below parity.

J.P.Morgan and Goldman Sachs have revised their forecasts for the euro area's economic growth, increasing the projected growth rate to 0.8% in 2025 due to Germany's fiscal loosening reforms. The European Central Bank (ECB) has also lowered its deposit rate to 2.5%, but warned of "phenomenal uncertainty" that could impact policy easing. However, JPM economists caution that uncertainty from Trump's tariff policy and potential US tariffs on European goods could weigh on economic growth in the coming months.

Germany's coalition agreed a landmark deal to exempt defense spending from its harsh debt brakes, in addition to unveiling a $535 billion infrastructure pledge. The country announced plans to change its constitution and abandon its long-standing commitment to fiscal prudence. Germany finally unveiled a plan that could address years of economic decline and the war in Ukraine as the country announced plans to change its constitution and abandon its long-standing commitment to fiscal prudence.

Negotiations to resume oil exports from Iraqi Kurdistan to Turkey have once again failed, primarily due to disagreements over pricing and payment terms, marking the second unsuccessful attempt within a week. The involvement of a U.S. diplomat in the discussions highlights Washington's urgent interest in resolving the stalemate, which is partly driven by broader geopolitical pressures, including sanctions on Iran. As the Iraqi government navigates these complex negotiations, the potential for further economic ramifications looms large, impacting both regional stability and global oil prices.